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RMB appreciation on the impact of commodity futures

One of the biggest impact of RMB appreciation is that the inflow of foreign capital, thus raising the price of RMB assets. Now many institutions are in the research and explore the Chinese will be a one-off rise or a slow appreciation, as I personally think that the appreciation of these two different ways in the long run impact on China, especially the impact of the market is the same, because whether it is a one-off appreciation of 2% -3%, or slow the appreciation, it will further strengthen the long-term steady appreciation of the yuan will come expectations, and thus to attract domestic and foreign investment capital with long-term pursuit of RMB assets, thus pushing up asset prices. As China's independence and the current economic situation in the complexity and seriousness of the RMB appreciation rate is bound to be controlled within an acceptable range so as not to hurt the real economy, so the appreciation of the magnitude and intensity will not be great.
 
Foreign capital inflows coupled with the common role of domestic private capital will undoubtedly bring long-term nature of stock prices, as well as a profitable, and our 20 trillion in private savings will also be a corresponding large amount of leverage, so in the foreseeable the future, the state regulation of prices and stock prices will further increase the difficulty. China's Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 from the current trend of view, in the form of a triangle formed a kind of convergence, 3000 point location to find a breakthrough in the direction of upward or downward, from my personal point of view, as long as the Chinese economy is not the second since the end of as a whole will be a steady upward trend of the stock market, which in the early text of my Bo had a more detailed exposition. From the past appreciation of the RMB to the Securities trend terms, but also further increase the possibility of its break up. Although the short-term yuan appreciation will ease the country imported inflation on domestic yuan-denominated commodity price movements have a certain pressure, but personally believe that this pressure can be negligible. Because in the early trend in the entire bulk commodities, has been largely ignored the impact of the dollar, so the current stage, the impact of currency factors are a major factor in commodity movements. With increased purchasing power of China is believed that the factors contributing to the international market, China will be a new round of speculation, the international commodity prices will be further supported so as to lead to domestic produce.
 
A major problem now is that the domestic commodity futures price increase already very high, in my pre-doctoral paper had such a deep expression of concern, is now the price of commodities relative to the previous bull market peak prices have been the most order of magnitude, but such a situation and the slow recovery period at home and abroad are in the state of the economy are not consistent. But from now on RMB appreciation and the domestic economic development point of view, the second end to the domestic economy may be small, while the future of domestic asset prices may also be further elevated, and therefore the commodity has upward momentum, but due to the early or unduly restrictive, its range is limited upwards. Or it could be this expression, the impact of economic fundamentals, the domestic commodity not to a substantial adjustment period, but is bound to make an adjustment. I personally think that speculation in commodities chance is yet to come, in this position up or down the reduction was limited, If I have a preference for the views, personal call. However, the specific operation to maintain the pre-judgment "wait and see."

One of the biggest impact of RMB appreciation is that the inflow of foreign capital, thus raising the price of RMB assets. Now many institutions are in the research and explore the Chinese will be a one-off rise or a slow appreciation, as I personally think that the appreciation of these two different ways in the long run impact on China, especially the impact of the market is the same, because whether it is a one-off appreciation of 2% -3%, or slow the appreciation, it will further strengthen the long-term steady appreciation of the yuan will come expectations, and thus to attract domestic and foreign investment capital with long-term pursuit of RMB assets, thus pushing up asset prices. As China's independence and the current economic situation in the complexity and seriousness of the RMB appreciation rate is bound to be controlled within an acceptable range so as not to hurt the real economy, so the appreciation of the magnitude and intensity will not be great.
 
Foreign capital inflows coupled with the common role of domestic private capital will undoubtedly bring long-term nature of stock prices, as well as a profitable, and our 20 trillion in private savings will also be a corresponding large amount of leverage, so in the foreseeable the future, the state regulation of prices and stock prices will further increase the difficulty. China's Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 from the current trend of view, in the form of a triangle formed a kind of convergence, 3000 point location to find a breakthrough in the direction of upward or downward, from my personal point of view, as long as the Chinese economy is not the second since the end of as a whole will be a steady upward trend of the stock market, which in the early text of my Bo had a more detailed exposition. From the past appreciation of the RMB to the Securities trend terms, but also further increase the possibility of its break up. Although the short-term yuan appreciation will ease the country imported inflation on domestic yuan-denominated commodity price movements have a certain pressure, but personally believe that this pressure can be negligible. Because in the early trend in the entire bulk commodities, has been largely ignored the impact of the dollar, so the current stage, the impact of currency factors are a major factor in commodity movements. With increased purchasing power of China is believed that the factors contributing to the international market, China will be a new round of speculation, the international commodity prices will be further supported so as to lead to domestic produce.
 
A major problem now is that the domestic commodity futures price increase already very high, in my pre-doctoral paper had such a deep expression of concern, is now the price of commodities relative to the previous bull market peak prices have been the most order of magnitude, but such a situation and the slow recovery period at home and abroad are in the state of the economy are not consistent. But from now on RMB appreciation and the domestic economic development point of view, the second end to the domestic economy may be small, while the future of domestic asset prices may also be further elevated, and therefore the commodity has upward momentum, but due to the early or unduly restrictive, its range is limited upwards. Or it could be this expression, the impact of economic fundamentals, the domestic commodity not to a substantial adjustment period, but is bound to make an adjustment. I personally think that speculation in commodities chance is yet to come, in this position up or down the reduction was limited, If I have a preference for the views, personal call. However, the specific operation to maintain the pre-judgment "wait and see."

One of the biggest impact of RMB appreciation is that the inflow of foreign capital, thus raising the price of RMB assets. Now many institutions are in the research and explore the Chinese will be a one-off rise or a slow appreciation, as I personally think that the appreciation of these two different ways in the long run impact on China, especially the impact of the market is the same, because whether it is a one-off appreciation of 2% -3%, or slow the appreciation, it will further strengthen the long-term steady appreciation of the yuan will come expectations, and thus to attract domestic and foreign investment capital with long-term pursuit of RMB assets, thus pushing up asset prices. As China's independence and the current economic situation in the complexity and seriousness of the RMB appreciation rate is bound to be controlled within an acceptable range so as not to hurt the real economy, so the appreciation of the magnitude and intensity will not be great.
 
Foreign capital inflows coupled with the common role of domestic private capital will undoubtedly bring long-term nature of stock prices, as well as a profitable, and our 20 trillion in private savings will also be a corresponding large amount of leverage, so in the foreseeable the future, the state regulation of prices and stock prices will further increase the difficulty. China's Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 from the current trend of view, in the form of a triangle formed a kind of convergence, 3000 point location to find a breakthrough in the direction of upward or downward, from my personal point of view, as long as the Chinese economy is not the second since the end of as a whole will be a steady upward trend of the stock market, which in the early text of my Bo had a more detailed exposition. From the past appreciation of the RMB to the Securities trend terms, but also further increase the possibility of its break up. Although the short-term yuan appreciation will ease the country imported inflation on domestic yuan-denominated commodity price movements have a certain pressure, but personally believe that this pressure can be negligible. Because in the early trend in the entire bulk commodities, has been largely ignored the impact of the dollar, so the current stage, the impact of currency factors are a major factor in commodity movements. With increased purchasing power of China is believed that the factors contributing to the international market, China will be a new round of speculation, the international commodity prices will be further supported so as to lead to domestic produce.
 
A major problem now is that the domestic commodity futures price increase already very high, in my pre-doctoral paper had such a deep expression of concern, is now the price of commodities relative to the previous bull market peak prices have been the most order of magnitude, but such a situation and the slow recovery period at home and abroad are in the state of the economy are not consistent. But from now on RMB appreciation and the domestic economic development point of view, the second end to the domestic economy may be small, while the future of domestic asset prices may also be further elevated, and therefore the commodity has upward momentum, but due to the early or unduly restrictive, its range is limited upwards. Or it could be this expression, the impact of economic fundamentals, the domestic commodity not to a substantial adjustment period, but is bound to make an adjustment. I personally think that speculation in commodities chance is yet to come, in this position up or down the reduction was limited, If I have a preference for the views, personal call. However, the specific operation to maintain the pre-judgment "wait and see."

xunG     uploadeb     freaksharp



Futures operation point in time thinking approach

The operation of the current round of my corn into the point position is a failure, from 1900 began to empty the more the longer the position but now has reached 60%, book losses but also expensive. I think this year's operations before the Spring Festival rebar, although the trend of rebar spotted, but the operation was due to premature admission, trapped in a passive, but stop out. Reflections on the two varieties: the trend in the futures judgment and inspection, is the first thing; approach point timing is the second; while its 3 in stop-loss and profit only.
 
Undoubtedly, the approach mastery point in time is the most See Futures Trader foundation, and it depends not only on the overall disk, technical as well as the macroeconomic fundamentals to grasp, but also on good control of their own mentality. Recall that under this in my corn from a single pre-cardiac concept, there are three basic features, one of several pre-develop self-confidence began to pen list expansion is a two quotations for not willing to wait, and the third is the concept of stop-loss start to enlarge. From the above three visits, I think that the time to look at futures approach, their points are good or bad depends on two aspects, the mentality of peace, as well as the firm grasp of the stop-loss point. Long ago in my article on Bo too had expressed this thought, according to admission point and stop point selection, but really to find Quotes of the time, the kind of anxiety and excessive optimism tend to make their own approach to early In the operation in a passive situation. In addition many of Futures Trader will be eventually more or less toward Buddhism, the Buddhist self-cultivation habit of "objects in order to leave", in the Trader will be the last operation, self-confidence and optimism pessimism should be thrown to the side, will not do sticky. But this time I have on the operation clearly violated the "objects in order to leave" principle.
 
In addition to state of mind to strengthen the right side on the calm approach the timing of things, but also to strengthen the fundamentals of futures on the varieties of background investigation. Operation of the corn so that I deeply feel that, in the CBBC conversion, the market volatility will be extremely intense, and that the best point conversion Quotes trend or is the key point, it is difficult to refine. Therefore, the current background investigation on the species very important, in the past I have always considered that the futures are also expected to do, but at this moment in the real disk I need to check the reasonableness of such knowledge, at least in closely related species and operation of industry information and the current spot changes in prices, it is often can be found futures also will be moving, in other words, the futures not only reflects the expectations, but also reflect the current spot market price movements and the current is being accepted by the market-date information. From this point of view, will undoubtedly increase the complexity of futures analysis in the future to determine trends and backgrounds also need to do further tests of this knowledge and practice, and more conducive to future operations and operations approach grasping the point in time.

The operation of the current round of my corn into the point position is a failure, from 1900 began to empty the more the longer the position but now has reached 60%, book losses but also expensive. I think this year's operations before the Spring Festival rebar, although the trend of rebar spotted, but the operation was due to premature admission, trapped in a passive, but stop out. Reflections on the two varieties: the trend in the futures judgment and inspection, is the first thing; approach point timing is the second; while its 3 in stop-loss and profit only.
 
Undoubtedly, the approach mastery point in time is the most See Futures Trader foundation, and it depends not only on the overall disk, technical as well as the macroeconomic fundamentals to grasp, but also on good control of their own mentality. Recall that under this in my corn from a single pre-cardiac concept, there are three basic features, one of several pre-develop self-confidence began to pen list expansion is a two quotations for not willing to wait, and the third is the concept of stop-loss start to enlarge. From the above three visits, I think that the time to look at futures approach, their points are good or bad depends on two aspects, the mentality of peace, as well as the firm grasp of the stop-loss point. Long ago in my article on Bo too had expressed this thought, according to admission point and stop point selection, but really to find Quotes of the time, the kind of anxiety and excessive optimism tend to make their own approach to early In the operation in a passive situation. In addition many of Futures Trader will be eventually more or less toward Buddhism, the Buddhist self-cultivation habit of "objects in order to leave", in the Trader will be the last operation, self-confidence and optimism pessimism should be thrown to the side, will not do sticky. But this time I have on the operation clearly violated the "objects in order to leave" principle.
 
In addition to state of mind to strengthen the right side on the calm approach the timing of things, but also to strengthen the fundamentals of futures on the varieties of background investigation. Operation of the corn so that I deeply feel that, in the CBBC conversion, the market volatility will be extremely intense, and that the best point conversion Quotes trend or is the key point, it is difficult to refine. Therefore, the current background investigation on the species very important, in the past I have always considered that the futures are also expected to do, but at this moment in the real disk I need to check the reasonableness of such knowledge, at least in closely related species and operation of industry information and the current spot changes in prices, it is often can be found futures also will be moving, in other words, the futures not only reflects the expectations, but also reflect the current spot market price movements and the current is being accepted by the market-date information. From this point of view, will undoubtedly increase the complexity of futures analysis in the future to determine trends and backgrounds also need to do further tests of this knowledge and practice, and more conducive to future operations and operations approach grasping the point in time.

The operation of the current round of my corn into the point position is a failure, from 1900 began to empty the more the longer the position but now has reached 60%, book losses but also expensive. I think this year's operations before the Spring Festival rebar, although the trend of rebar spotted, but the operation was due to premature admission, trapped in a passive, but stop out. Reflections on the two varieties: the trend in the futures judgment and inspection, is the first thing; approach point timing is the second; while its 3 in stop-loss and profit only.
 
Undoubtedly, the approach mastery point in time is the most See Futures Trader foundation, and it depends not only on the overall disk, technical as well as the macroeconomic fundamentals to grasp, but also on good control of their own mentality. Recall that under this in my corn from a single pre-cardiac concept, there are three basic features, one of several pre-develop self-confidence began to pen list expansion is a two quotations for not willing to wait, and the third is the concept of stop-loss start to enlarge. From the above three visits, I think that the time to look at futures approach, their points are good or bad depends on two aspects, the mentality of peace, as well as the firm grasp of the stop-loss point. Long ago in my article on Bo too had expressed this thought, according to admission point and stop point selection, but really to find Quotes of the time, the kind of anxiety and excessive optimism tend to make their own approach to early In the operation in a passive situation. In addition many of Futures Trader will be eventually more or less toward Buddhism, the Buddhist self-cultivation habit of "objects in order to leave", in the Trader will be the last operation, self-confidence and optimism pessimism should be thrown to the side, will not do sticky. But this time I have on the operation clearly violated the "objects in order to leave" principle.
 
In addition to state of mind to strengthen the right side on the calm approach the timing of things, but also to strengthen the fundamentals of futures on the varieties of background investigation. Operation of the corn so that I deeply feel that, in the CBBC conversion, the market volatility will be extremely intense, and that the best point conversion Quotes trend or is the key point, it is difficult to refine. Therefore, the current background investigation on the species very important, in the past I have always considered that the futures are also expected to do, but at this moment in the real disk I need to check the reasonableness of such knowledge, at least in closely related species and operation of industry information and the current spot changes in prices, it is often can be found futures also will be moving, in other words, the futures not only reflects the expectations, but also reflect the current spot market price movements and the current is being accepted by the market-date information. From this point of view, will undoubtedly increase the complexity of futures analysis in the future to determine trends and backgrounds also need to do further tests of this knowledge and practice, and more conducive to future operations and operations approach grasping the point in time. 

xunG     uploadeb     freaksharp 


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