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RMB appreciation on the impact of commodity futures

One of the biggest impact of RMB appreciation is that the inflow of foreign capital, thus raising the price of RMB assets. Now many institutions are in the research and explore the Chinese will be a one-off rise or a slow appreciation, as I personally think that the appreciation of these two different ways in the long run impact on China, especially the impact of the market is the same, because whether it is a one-off appreciation of 2% -3%, or slow the appreciation, it will further strengthen the long-term steady appreciation of the yuan will come expectations, and thus to attract domestic and foreign investment capital with long-term pursuit of RMB assets, thus pushing up asset prices. As China's independence and the current economic situation in the complexity and seriousness of the RMB appreciation rate is bound to be controlled within an acceptable range so as not to hurt the real economy, so the appreciation of the magnitude and intensity will not be great.
 
Foreign capital inflows coupled with the common role of domestic private capital will undoubtedly bring long-term nature of stock prices, as well as a profitable, and our 20 trillion in private savings will also be a corresponding large amount of leverage, so in the foreseeable the future, the state regulation of prices and stock prices will further increase the difficulty. China's Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 from the current trend of view, in the form of a triangle formed a kind of convergence, 3000 point location to find a breakthrough in the direction of upward or downward, from my personal point of view, as long as the Chinese economy is not the second since the end of as a whole will be a steady upward trend of the stock market, which in the early text of my Bo had a more detailed exposition. From the past appreciation of the RMB to the Securities trend terms, but also further increase the possibility of its break up. Although the short-term yuan appreciation will ease the country imported inflation on domestic yuan-denominated commodity price movements have a certain pressure, but personally believe that this pressure can be negligible. Because in the early trend in the entire bulk commodities, has been largely ignored the impact of the dollar, so the current stage, the impact of currency factors are a major factor in commodity movements. With increased purchasing power of China is believed that the factors contributing to the international market, China will be a new round of speculation, the international commodity prices will be further supported so as to lead to domestic produce.
 
A major problem now is that the domestic commodity futures price increase already very high, in my pre-doctoral paper had such a deep expression of concern, is now the price of commodities relative to the previous bull market peak prices have been the most order of magnitude, but such a situation and the slow recovery period at home and abroad are in the state of the economy are not consistent. But from now on RMB appreciation and the domestic economic development point of view, the second end to the domestic economy may be small, while the future of domestic asset prices may also be further elevated, and therefore the commodity has upward momentum, but due to the early or unduly restrictive, its range is limited upwards. Or it could be this expression, the impact of economic fundamentals, the domestic commodity not to a substantial adjustment period, but is bound to make an adjustment. I personally think that speculation in commodities chance is yet to come, in this position up or down the reduction was limited, If I have a preference for the views, personal call. However, the specific operation to maintain the pre-judgment "wait and see."

One of the biggest impact of RMB appreciation is that the inflow of foreign capital, thus raising the price of RMB assets. Now many institutions are in the research and explore the Chinese will be a one-off rise or a slow appreciation, as I personally think that the appreciation of these two different ways in the long run impact on China, especially the impact of the market is the same, because whether it is a one-off appreciation of 2% -3%, or slow the appreciation, it will further strengthen the long-term steady appreciation of the yuan will come expectations, and thus to attract domestic and foreign investment capital with long-term pursuit of RMB assets, thus pushing up asset prices. As China's independence and the current economic situation in the complexity and seriousness of the RMB appreciation rate is bound to be controlled within an acceptable range so as not to hurt the real economy, so the appreciation of the magnitude and intensity will not be great.
 
Foreign capital inflows coupled with the common role of domestic private capital will undoubtedly bring long-term nature of stock prices, as well as a profitable, and our 20 trillion in private savings will also be a corresponding large amount of leverage, so in the foreseeable the future, the state regulation of prices and stock prices will further increase the difficulty. China's Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 from the current trend of view, in the form of a triangle formed a kind of convergence, 3000 point location to find a breakthrough in the direction of upward or downward, from my personal point of view, as long as the Chinese economy is not the second since the end of as a whole will be a steady upward trend of the stock market, which in the early text of my Bo had a more detailed exposition. From the past appreciation of the RMB to the Securities trend terms, but also further increase the possibility of its break up. Although the short-term yuan appreciation will ease the country imported inflation on domestic yuan-denominated commodity price movements have a certain pressure, but personally believe that this pressure can be negligible. Because in the early trend in the entire bulk commodities, has been largely ignored the impact of the dollar, so the current stage, the impact of currency factors are a major factor in commodity movements. With increased purchasing power of China is believed that the factors contributing to the international market, China will be a new round of speculation, the international commodity prices will be further supported so as to lead to domestic produce.
 
A major problem now is that the domestic commodity futures price increase already very high, in my pre-doctoral paper had such a deep expression of concern, is now the price of commodities relative to the previous bull market peak prices have been the most order of magnitude, but such a situation and the slow recovery period at home and abroad are in the state of the economy are not consistent. But from now on RMB appreciation and the domestic economic development point of view, the second end to the domestic economy may be small, while the future of domestic asset prices may also be further elevated, and therefore the commodity has upward momentum, but due to the early or unduly restrictive, its range is limited upwards. Or it could be this expression, the impact of economic fundamentals, the domestic commodity not to a substantial adjustment period, but is bound to make an adjustment. I personally think that speculation in commodities chance is yet to come, in this position up or down the reduction was limited, If I have a preference for the views, personal call. However, the specific operation to maintain the pre-judgment "wait and see."

One of the biggest impact of RMB appreciation is that the inflow of foreign capital, thus raising the price of RMB assets. Now many institutions are in the research and explore the Chinese will be a one-off rise or a slow appreciation, as I personally think that the appreciation of these two different ways in the long run impact on China, especially the impact of the market is the same, because whether it is a one-off appreciation of 2% -3%, or slow the appreciation, it will further strengthen the long-term steady appreciation of the yuan will come expectations, and thus to attract domestic and foreign investment capital with long-term pursuit of RMB assets, thus pushing up asset prices. As China's independence and the current economic situation in the complexity and seriousness of the RMB appreciation rate is bound to be controlled within an acceptable range so as not to hurt the real economy, so the appreciation of the magnitude and intensity will not be great.
 
Foreign capital inflows coupled with the common role of domestic private capital will undoubtedly bring long-term nature of stock prices, as well as a profitable, and our 20 trillion in private savings will also be a corresponding large amount of leverage, so in the foreseeable the future, the state regulation of prices and stock prices will further increase the difficulty. China's Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 from the current trend of view, in the form of a triangle formed a kind of convergence, 3000 point location to find a breakthrough in the direction of upward or downward, from my personal point of view, as long as the Chinese economy is not the second since the end of as a whole will be a steady upward trend of the stock market, which in the early text of my Bo had a more detailed exposition. From the past appreciation of the RMB to the Securities trend terms, but also further increase the possibility of its break up. Although the short-term yuan appreciation will ease the country imported inflation on domestic yuan-denominated commodity price movements have a certain pressure, but personally believe that this pressure can be negligible. Because in the early trend in the entire bulk commodities, has been largely ignored the impact of the dollar, so the current stage, the impact of currency factors are a major factor in commodity movements. With increased purchasing power of China is believed that the factors contributing to the international market, China will be a new round of speculation, the international commodity prices will be further supported so as to lead to domestic produce.
 
A major problem now is that the domestic commodity futures price increase already very high, in my pre-doctoral paper had such a deep expression of concern, is now the price of commodities relative to the previous bull market peak prices have been the most order of magnitude, but such a situation and the slow recovery period at home and abroad are in the state of the economy are not consistent. But from now on RMB appreciation and the domestic economic development point of view, the second end to the domestic economy may be small, while the future of domestic asset prices may also be further elevated, and therefore the commodity has upward momentum, but due to the early or unduly restrictive, its range is limited upwards. Or it could be this expression, the impact of economic fundamentals, the domestic commodity not to a substantial adjustment period, but is bound to make an adjustment. I personally think that speculation in commodities chance is yet to come, in this position up or down the reduction was limited, If I have a preference for the views, personal call. However, the specific operation to maintain the pre-judgment "wait and see."

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